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Sunday, February 8, 2015

TFD Opinions: 2016 Subjective Presidential Election Odds February 8 2015

Updating the Republican odds after the last 2 weeks of action including Romney's withdrawal...

Pulling from's recent attempt at guessing the presidential nomination odds, here are mine. These odds are the % chance of each person actually being the nominee which includes the possibility they might not run at all. Anyone rated as 0 is not actually 0 but consider it a rounding error as they are below 0.5%.

75- Hillary Clinton
7- Elizabeth Warren (Senator- MA)
5- Joe Biden
4- Martin O'Malley (Former Gov- MD)
3- Jim Webb (Former Sen- VA)
1- Andrew Cuomo (Governor- NY)
0- Bernie Sanders (Senator- VT)
5- Someone Else

26- Jeb Bush (Former Gov- FL)(+2)
18- Scott Walker (Governor- WI)(+5)
10- Rand Paul (Senator- KY)(-1)
10- Marco Rubio (Senator- FL)(+1)
8- Rick Perry (Former Gov- TX)(+1)
7- Chris Christie (Governor- NJ)(-3)
5- Mike Huckabee (Former Gov- AR)
4- Ted Cruz (Senator- TX)(+1)
3- John Kasich (Governor- OH)
3- Mike Pence (Governor- IN)
1- Bobby Jindal (Governor- LA)
0- Ben Carson (Surgeon- MD)
0- Carly Fiorina (Former CEO- CA)
0- Lindsey Graham (Senator- SC)
0- Rick Santorum (Former Sen- PA)
0- Donald Trump (Professional Troll- NY)
0- Sarah Palin (Former Gov- AK)
0- Rick Scott (Governor- FL)
5- Someone Else (Mitt Romney (Former Gov- MA) drops from 6% into this category)

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