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Saturday, November 10, 2012

College Gameday Sign: Who Cares About Football? Bring Hockey Back

Real Time with Bill Maher: New Rules November 9: New Black Panthers and White Power Dwindling

Saturday Cartoon: November 7

Demographics of Obama and Romney Voters

The Worst Pundit Predictions of Election 2012

And yet all of these people will continue to get paid for their expert analysis. (AndrewSullivan)

Movie Review: Skyfall

Hopefully better than Quantum of Solace. (TheAtlantic)

DuckDuckGo Replacing Google?

Google without the creepy tracking. (WashingtonPost)

Real Time with Bill Maher: Election 2012 In Memoriam, Farewell Douchebags

It's the End. Shut It Down.

Thursday, November 8, 2012

The Importance of Buying Well-Fitting Pants

Cat Comes in 3rd in Virginia Senate Race

Probably the best candidate in the race. (ConstitutionCenter)

The Onion: 'I Want To Congratulate The President,' Romney Says In 240,000th And Final Lie Of Campaign

The final lie of the 2012 campaign. (TheOnion)

TFD Opinions: NFL 2012 Week 10 Picks

Last week: 10-4
Season: 84-48

Colts over Jaguars
Giants over Bengals
Dolphins over Titans
Vikings over Lions
Patriots over Bills
Falcons over Saints
Bucs over Chargers
Broncos over Panthers
Ravens over Raiders
Seahawks over Jets
Cowboys over Eagles
49ers over Rams
Bears over Texans
Steelers over Chiefs

You Know Your Party is in Trouble When...

Room for Debate: What Should Obama Do the Next 4 Years?

Some suggestions. (NYTimes)

Daily Show: Bullshit Mountain FOX News and Karl Rove Can't Believe Obama Won



Colbert Report: Who's Been Fucking Our Windmills?

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

ESPN Joe Lunardi Preseason Bracketology 2012-2013

UVA on the outermost reaches of the bubble. (Bracketology)

CNN to Display Real Time Election 2012 Results on Empire State Building

Holograms in 2008 had to be one-upped somehow. (Mediaite)

Election 2012 Poll Closing Times Map

Colbert Report: Nate Silver November 5

Daily Show: Pundit Musical Chairs

No matter how many times you lose, you stay in the game.

Daily Show: John Oliver and Jason Jones as Middle School Campaign Consultants Part 3

Sunday, November 4, 2012

60 Minutes: The Broken Senate

Election 2012 Viewer's Guide: Did Obama Win?

(Full Size Version)


Note: this is not completely factual but is essentially true.

TFD Opinions: Public Policy Polling vs. Rasmussen 2008 and 2012

Most people who watch polls like to believe the ones that say what they want to hear. It's no surprise that Republicans favor Rasmussen as his numbers often favor Republicans. Public Policy Polling has emerged as a favorite of Democrats. Republicans insist Rasmussen is truly fair while PPP is a liberal group trying to mess with the election with biased numbers. But instead of just guessing, we have an actual track record to look at. Here are the results from their 2008 final polls regarding the 10 states that are expected to be closest in 2012.

2008 (+ is Obama margin, - is McCain margin):
Colorado: Actual +9, PPP +10, Rasmussen +4
Florida: Actual + 2.8, PPP +2, Rasmussen -1
Iowa: Actual +9.5, PPP no poll, Rasmussen +8
Nevada: Actual +12.5, PPP +4, Rasmussen +4
New Hampshire: Actual + 9.6, PPP no poll, Rasmussen +7
North Carolina: Actual +0.4, PPP +1, Rasmussen -1
Ohio: Actual + 4.6, PPP +2, Rasmussen +0
Pennsylvania: Actual +10.3, PPP +8, Rasmussen +6
Virginia: Actual +6.3, PPP +6, Rasmussen +4
Wisconsin: Actual +13.9, PPP no poll, Rasmussen +7

The Presidential Polls and Turnout Estimates Probably Aren't Wrong

Polls are actually pretty accurate in good elections for both Democrats and Republicans. (TNR)

TFD Opinions: Election 2012 Obama vs. Romney Comprehensive Preview

I've been putting out my electoral college forecasts for months now but haven't really offered a reason for my projections so here's a complete preview of Election Night. At the end, I'll also briefly discuss the Senate and House races which I have not previously projected and mention what to watch for on Election Night.

First there are the states that are pretty likely in the column of one of the candidates. I have that at 237 for Obama and 191 for Romney. The Obama states are California (55), Connecticut (7), DC (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Michigan (16), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (29), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (20), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12). The Romney states are Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (38), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3).

Election Night Swing State Guide

What to watch for on Tuesday night. (Guardian)

Sunday Cartoon: Election Junkies

SNL: Louis CK Stand-Up Monologue

SNL: Hotel Bill Fees

SNL: Weekend Update: Mitt Romney Closing Argument

SNL: Weekend Update: Social Media in the Election: Facebook Posts

SNL: Louis CK as Abraham Lincoln, Needs a Black Friend

Real Time with Bill Maher: New Rules November 3: Looking Back at Campaign 2012


Episode 265 by BillMaher1956

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