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Monday, October 1, 2012

TFD Opinions: Election 2012 State by State Projections October 1

Swings toward Obama since last update: North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Wisconsin
Swings toward Romney since last update: South Carolina

Solid Obama (186): California (55), Connecticut (7), DC (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (29), Oregon (7), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)

Likely Obama (89): Michigan (16), Minnesota (10), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10)

Lean Obama (57): Colorado (9), Florida (29), Iowa (6), Virginia (13)

Toss-Up (15): North Carolina (15)

Lean Romney (0):

Likely Romney (52): Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Indiana (11), Missouri (10), Montana (3), Nebraska CD-2 (1)

Solid Romney (139): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Nebraska (4*), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (38), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

Overall: Obama 332, Romney 191, Toss-up 15 (Map)

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