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Thursday, July 26, 2012

TFD Opinions: Election 2012 Projections July 26

Swings toward Obama since last update: Wisconsin
Swings toward Romney since last update: Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, Tennessee, Texas

Solid Obama (179): California (55), Connecticut (7), DC (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (29), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)

Likely Obama (78): Michigan (16), Minnesota (10), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10)

Lean Obama (46): Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Ohio (18), Virginia (13)

Toss-Up (29): Florida (29)

Lean Romney (15): North Carolina (15)

Likely Romney (61): Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Indiana (11), Missouri (10), Montana (3), Nebraska CD-2 (1), South Carolina (9)

Solid Romney (130): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Nebraska (4*), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (38), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

Overall: Obama 303, Romney 206, Toss-up 29 (Map)

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