TFD Opinions: Election 2012 Projections June 30

Swings toward Obama since last update: Florida, Ohio
Swings toward Romney since last update: None

Solid Obama (194): California (55), Connecticut (7), DC (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (29), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)

Likely Obama (53): Michigan (16), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (20)

Lean Obama (56): Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10)

Toss-Up (29): Florida (29)

Lean Romney (25): Missouri (10), North Carolina (15)

Likely Romney (100): Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Indiana (11), Montana (3), Nebraska CD-2 (1), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Texas (38)

Solid Romney (81): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Nebraska (4*), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Dakota (3), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

Overall: Obama 303, Romney 206, Toss-up 29 (Map)