TFD Opinions: Election 2012 Projections June 13

Swings toward Obama since last update: None
Swings toward Romney since last update: Florida, North Carolina, Ohio

Solid Obama (194): California (55), Connecticut (7), DC (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (29), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)

Likely Obama (53): Michigan (16), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (20)

Lean Obama (38): Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10)

Toss-Up (18): Ohio (18)

Lean Romney (54): Florida (29), Missouri (10), North Carolina (15)

Likely Romney (100): Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Indiana (11), Montana (3), Nebraska CD-2 (1), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Texas (38)

Solid Romney (81): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Nebraska (4*), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Dakota (3), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

Overall: Obama 285, Romney 235, Toss-up 18 (Map)