TFD Opinions: Election 2012 Projections May 16

Swings toward Obama since last update: Iowa, Minnesota, New Hampshire
Swings toward Romney since last update: Indiana, Oregon, Wisconsin

Solid Obama (189): California (55), Connecticut (7), DC (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Minnesota (10), New Jersey (14), New York (29), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)

Likely Obama (64): Iowa (6), Michigan (16), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (20)

Lean Obama (50): Colorado (9), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10)

Toss-Up (44): Florida (29), North Carolina (15)

Lean Romney (22): Arizona (11), Missouri (10), Nebraska CD-2 (1)

Likely Romney (77): Georgia (16), Indiana (11), Montana (3), South Carolina (9), Texas (38)

Solid Romney (92): Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Nebraska (4*), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)

Overall: Obama 303, Romney 191, Toss-up 44 (Map)